Polling shows the Tories are facing an election defeat larger in size than even the winning Labour election landslide in 1007, with a YouGov poll predicting Labour would win 403 seats if an election were held tomorrow.
The Conservatives are on course to win 155 seats, fewer than during the Labour victory under Tony Blair.
The party is projected to win the largest number of constituencies in Scotland, with 28 seats to the SNP’s 19.
The drop in support for the Conservatives indicates no resurgence of support since the Government’s last Budget, when national insurance was slashed.
The Labour Party is 18 seats higher than earlier in the year, suggesting it is growing in popularity among voters.
According to the most recent study, Sir Keir Starmer’s Labour Party is projected to achieve a victory that might be comparable to Tony Blair’s, while Mr. Sunak is expected to see a less favourable outcome than John Major.
During the 1997 election, the Labour party, led by Mr. Blair, secured 418 out of the total 659 seats in the House of Commons.
The poll analysis, employing the statistical technique of multilevel regression with post-stratification, predicts that major Conservative individuals, such as Mr. Hunt, are in danger of losing their seats.
Prominent Conservatives, including Mr. Sunak, were also identified as being vulnerable in a comparable survey conducted by Survation and published in The Sunday Times. The survey suggested that the Conservative Party would only secure 98 seats.
The Conservatives are also at risk of losing their seats, with Reform UK polling highest in the “Red Wall” seats of Barnsley North and Hartlepool but still 20 points behind Labour.
